William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap)
I will begin our first foray into the Flat season with a look at the 2024 running of the Lincoln at Doncaster. That race was won by Mr Professor, who burst through the field with 3-furlongs to run to win by a length and a half from Lattam. That race was run on ground described […]
Weekly Review 24th March – Adam Mills
The Cheltenham festival is over and we are less than 7-days away from the return of the Flat season at Doncaster. For that reason, this week’s review of the data from TPD focusses on some of the results on the level as we prepare to switch codes in the UK. It’s a sudden change from […]
British EBF BetVictor ‘National Hunt’ Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) – Adam Mills
A competitive Mares’ handicap for Newbury’s feature race on Saturday. We have to start with the top weight, Jasmine Bliss. Harry Derham’s mare has weight to concede but she has delivered on the track and deserves her place at the head of the weights. She has a 7 lb swing at the weights with La […]
The Cheltenham Review – Adam Mills
When a Cheltenham festival is described as “hard work for punters”, that generally means it’s unpredictable and whilst our betting accounts may not always agree, the ability to cause surprises is ultimately what makes this sport so great. The use of data can tell you so many things, but no matter how many hours you […]
The Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase (Grade 2) – Adam Mills
Limerick Lace was the winner of this race 12-months ago when getting the better of Dinoblue on soft ground. That was a career best and it is fair to say that she hasn’t been in the same form since, which would raise obvious doubts, especially under different conditions. Last year, she hit the front in […]
Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) – Adam Mills
Il Est Francais will be in front at the end of the first couple of furlongs. That’s hardly breaking news, but it does help to shape how this race is likely to be run. Cheltenham is not Kempton and he needs to prove that he is capable of transferring his aggressive running style to the […]
BetMGM Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) – Adam Mills
Jonbon is yet to win at the Cheltenham festival. I’ll start there but I think we can make a case for him being unlucky in those circumstances rather than there being a specific issue for him at the track. In 2022 he bumped into Constitution Hill in the Supreme, in 2023 he met El Fabiolo […]
My Pension Expert Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) – Adam Mills
Let’s start by stating the obvious. This race is all about Majborough. From the moment that Sir Gino was ruled out, Willie Mullins’ charge has become the most likely winner of this year’s Arkle. He is already a Cheltenham festival winner courtesy of his victory over his stablemate Kargese in last year’s Triumph hurdle. That […]
BetMGM Lady Wulfruna Stakes (Listed Race) – Adam Mills
3:20 Wolverhampton This looks to be a strong renewal of the Lady Wulfruna Stakes with 6 horses rated 100 or higher. Royal Zabeel is the “All-Weather” horse in this field and he has already won twice over the winter, including over this course and distance in January. He took just 6.0s to reach 30 mph […]
Weekly Review 3rd March – Adam Mills
It’s March. That means we are nearly at the Cheltenham Festival, but it also means that the Flat Turf season is just around the corner. With that in mind, this week’s review looks at some of the leading 3-year-old performances from Dubai and the United States this weekend and what clues we can glean from […]