Dubai World Cup Night Meydan 5th April 2025 – Adam Mills
The season in Dubai is about to reach its zenith and there is a case to be made from the entries that this is one of the strongest race cards ever assembled at Meydan. There are Group 1 horses entered across the card and I have worked my way through the data provided by TPD […]
Grand National 2025 – Adam Mills
Even if we accept the fact that the Grand National is a different test these days, it is still a fairly unique scenario for the horses going to post. As a result, there is a limited amount that we can take from the data of their earlier form in relation to the National and in […]
Doncaster Review – 31st March 2025 – Adam Mills
The Flat is back! The first weekend in March has come and gone and we have had our first taste of the Flat season at Doncaster. Here is this week’s review of the data from TPD, specifically focussing on the action at Doncaster on Saturday afternoon. William Hill Top Price Guarantee EBF Brocklesby Stakes […]
William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap)
I will begin our first foray into the Flat season with a look at the 2024 running of the Lincoln at Doncaster. That race was won by Mr Professor, who burst through the field with 3-furlongs to run to win by a length and a half from Lattam. That race was run on ground described […]
Weekly Review 24th March – Adam Mills
The Cheltenham festival is over and we are less than 7-days away from the return of the Flat season at Doncaster. For that reason, this week’s review of the data from TPD focusses on some of the results on the level as we prepare to switch codes in the UK. It’s a sudden change from […]
British EBF BetVictor ‘National Hunt’ Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) – Adam Mills
A competitive Mares’ handicap for Newbury’s feature race on Saturday. We have to start with the top weight, Jasmine Bliss. Harry Derham’s mare has weight to concede but she has delivered on the track and deserves her place at the head of the weights. She has a 7 lb swing at the weights with La […]
The Cheltenham Review – Adam Mills
When a Cheltenham festival is described as “hard work for punters”, that generally means it’s unpredictable and whilst our betting accounts may not always agree, the ability to cause surprises is ultimately what makes this sport so great. The use of data can tell you so many things, but no matter how many hours you […]
The Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase (Grade 2) – Adam Mills
Limerick Lace was the winner of this race 12-months ago when getting the better of Dinoblue on soft ground. That was a career best and it is fair to say that she hasn’t been in the same form since, which would raise obvious doubts, especially under different conditions. Last year, she hit the front in […]
Ryanair Chase (Grade 1) – Adam Mills
Il Est Francais will be in front at the end of the first couple of furlongs. That’s hardly breaking news, but it does help to shape how this race is likely to be run. Cheltenham is not Kempton and he needs to prove that he is capable of transferring his aggressive running style to the […]
BetMGM Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) – Adam Mills
Jonbon is yet to win at the Cheltenham festival. I’ll start there but I think we can make a case for him being unlucky in those circumstances rather than there being a specific issue for him at the track. In 2022 he bumped into Constitution Hill in the Supreme, in 2023 he met El Fabiolo […]